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Re: Thinking about ranges and combinations.
 Originally Posted by Monty3038
 Originally Posted by Muzzard
3.3 Villain raises the flop to 20bbs, what should we do if we know he would only raise FD's and sets? [/color]
Ok, we are ahead of flush draws, though he has outs, and we are behind sets. So we are mostly worried about sets 6 of his hands. Flush draws are only possible with the QJs, JTs and T9s hands, making 11 combos. Sets are possible with 6 hands. that makes 17 hands. If he only raises sets and flush draws, we are ahead of 11/17 possible hands, roughly 64%, let's call it 2/3. We are thus ahead 2/3 times and the bet is for 20 bbs into a pot of 15 bbs. It costs us 13 bbs to call a bet of 20. That is roughly the same percentage we are ahead, I make it a call.
Am I even close? My logic feels a bit screwy but I honestly did this by my self with only a calculator for percentages
PS I edited this like 9 times to get the color right darnit. 
Ok, I see it now, thanks, for some reason that just wouldn't click no matter how much I read it.
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