Sweat my BVB

- Villain in this hand is one of the better players I've seen at 25NL and we're playing together on 4 tables, so pretty familiar with each other's game

- 15/12/3 over 200...fold BB to steal 76%...and fold to flop 3bet 75%

- I think he knows im c-betting most of my range on this board which widens his range...i think

$0.1/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
3 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
BTN ($35.80)
Hero (SB) ($29.35)
BB ($25.00)

Pre-flop: ($0.35, 3 players) Hero is SB
BTN folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.50, 2 players)
Hero bets $1, BB raises to $3.25

All options seem viable, whats the most optimal and why?

Edit: Turn Aggr. is 65 so we can expect him to pop off another barrell to a call

I could be off but I think :

If you think he can play back with air I don't hate a small 3bet/fold but might be spew especially if he can get it in here with a draws. Seems weak but I think call and c/f turn if he bets again. If he gives up turn call small river bets on most cards. Or hit running hearts and profit.

Note: I don't run a hud and although I know he is tight I am not great at applying the stats.

That's a weak PFR if you're trying to steal the blinds. Make it at least 4-5xBB.

15/12/3 are tight stats, but I think he's calling BS on your weak c-bet. Given that he raises 80% of every hand he flops, I don't see him just calling your raise from the BB with overs.

With top pair, I'm calling this and place a blocking bet on the turn if you don't improve. If you get raised or called, you're probably beat.

fold pf
I only steal with J2s from players that fold to a minraise like 50%

seems the most optimal play now is pot control

totally based on game flow and reads

Yeah I forgot to mention I just fold this preflop. It's so rare hand this weak hits flops hard and you get into too many weird spot like this with marginal hands that could be way behind or slightly ahead and that you probably do not want to play aggressively.

3 players at the table? yes?

If he's folding like 3/4 of his hands here I dont understand how opening ATC is not profitable. I googled his sn and he's a 2+2 poster.

Yes, three players.

So, my question is not preflop...I have a suited Jhigh against someone who only defends 1 out of 4 times...FREE MONEY! i cant fold!

On the flop I find it hard to fold TP in a blind war since im 99.3% sure he doesn't have QQ+. But he's playing such a narrow range here its viable.

Calling gets him a lot of value with sets and better jacks but also turns my range into more bluff catchers for him to keep trying to bet me off of which will be at a high frequency if i check the turn.

3betting only blows his air out and I get snapped shoved with better.

I decided to pot control since a lot of his range is gonna be bluffs, bluff catchers, and draws playing back.

Flop: ($1.50, 2 players)
Hero bets $1, PlayBadGetMoney raises to $3.25, Hero calls $2.25

Turn: ($8, 2 players)
Hero should...lead for 3/8 pot to induce shove...c/c...c/ship it...c/f?

I try minraising pf here actually

On the turn since he is tight would check/Raise because if he has a big pair you get him in a great spot to crack if he re-shoves with your draw.