Quote Originally Posted by tunah
Quote Originally Posted by Ragnar4
This guy won't call a nickle, but I can't let him hit his ace or king.
Or ten, right?

The Fundamental reason I bet is to get better hands to fold, and worse hands to call.
This is only possible because poker is a game of incomplete information. Here you know what he has, and I he knows what you have, so it's not going to be possible.

The fundamental fundamental reason you bet has to be to increase your expected value, right?
If you check turn and river you have 70% of the pot.
If you bet turn and he folds you have 100%.
If you bet turn and he calls you've gained 70% of whatever was added.
So you bet turn.

edit: to be clear, just talking about the game theory after he shows his hand, I'm sure spenda's right about the flop.
Really good explanation IMO