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Straight on the flop against unknown

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  1. #1

    Default Straight on the flop against unknown

    Less than 10 hands against villain. How are my ranges/analysis?

    No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (8 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    BB ($5)
    UTG ($1.48)
    UTG+1 ($3.33)
    Hero (MP1) ($6.80)
    MP2 ($2.50)
    CO ($4.63)
    Button ($2.93)
    SB ($11.96)

    Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A, Q
    1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.05, Hero bets $0.20, 3 folds, SB calls $0.18, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.15

    Flop: ($0.65) K, 10, J (3 players)
    SB bets $0.40, 1 fold, Hero raises $1.60, SB raises $11.36 (All-In), Hero calls $5 (All-In)

    Turn: ($13.85) K (2 players, 2 all-in)

    River: ($13.85) 10 (2 players, 2 all-in)

    Total pot: $13.85


    PF RANGE: JJ-55,AQs-A2s,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,AQo-ATo,KTo+,QTo+,JTo

    FLOP RANGE: JJ-99,AQs-A2s,KTs+,QJs,JTs,98s,AQo-AJo,KTo+,QJo,JTo

    3B SHOVE RANGE: JJ-TT,AQs-ATs,Ah9h,Ah8h,Ah7h,Ah6h,Ah5h,Ah4h,Ah3h,Ah2h,KTs+,Q Js,JTs,98s,AQo,AhJc,AhJd,AhJs,AhTc,AhTd,AhTs,KTo+, QJo,JTo


    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

    81,180 games 0.006 secs 13,530,000 games/sec

    Board: Kh Jh Th
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 64.306% 57.00% 07.30% 46275 5928.50 { AcQc }
    Hand 1: 35.694% 28.39% 07.30% 23048 5928.50 { JJ-TT, AQs-ATs, Ah9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h, KTs+, QJs, JTs, 98s, AQo, AhJc, AhJd, AhJs, AhTc, AhTd, AhTs, KTo+, QJo, JTo }



    VILLAINS PERSPECTIVE

    PF RANGE: 55+,A6s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,A9o+,KTo+,QTo+,JTo

    FLOP RAISE RANGE: TT+,AJs+,Ah9h,Ah8h,Ah7h,Ah6h,KTs+,QJs,JTs,Th9h,98s ,AJo+,AhTc,AhTd,AhTs,Ah9c,Ah9d,Ah9s,KTo+,QTo+,JTo

    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

    103,950 games 0.005 secs 20,790,000 games/sec

    Board: Kh Jh Th
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 43.184% 35.82% 07.37% 37230 7659.50 { KdQd }
    Hand 1: 56.816% 49.45% 07.37% 51401 7659.50 { TT+, AJs+, Ah9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, KTs+, QJs, JTs, Th9h, 98s, AJo+, AhTc, AhTd, AhTs, Ah9c, Ah9d, Ah9s, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }


    So villain is still slightly behind.
    How much fold equity does villain need to 3-bet this pot all in?
    $5.00/($2.65+$5.00)=~65% Fold Equity
    I'm counting 49 of 111 combos that villain may see me folding. (not positive about this, ill check tomorrow...)
  2. #2
    !Luck's Avatar
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    QJo? What happened to KK?
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by !Luck View Post
    QJo? What happened to KK?
    because of non preflop3bet maybe?
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  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by Johnny Cashout View Post
    because of non preflop3bet maybe?
    this... QJ has an open ended straight & middle pair. Maybe out of place against an unknown, but not unknown to happen at these stakes.
  5. #5
    being a complete unknown id leave some combos of AA and KK in his range postflop...also i doubt he is shoving AJs/ATs maybe all the ones with an A of hearts but even then its meh. Also if hes shoving QJ im pretty positive hed be shoving QQ with a heart in it.

    You need ~ 31% equity

    if you give him Ahkx and AhJx as well as some sets/AA (with a heart) and flushes/straights then you have 35% equity and id call. (about the same equity you came up with with your range)
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by philly and the phanatics View Post
    being a complete unknown id leave some combos of AA and KK in his range postflop...also i doubt he is shoving AJs/ATs maybe all the ones with an A of hearts but even then its meh. Also if hes shoving QJ im pretty positive hed be shoving QQ with a heart in it.

    You need ~ 31% equity

    if you give him Ahkx and AhJx as well as some sets/AA (with a heart) and flushes/straights then you have 35% equity and id call. (about the same equity you came up with with your range)
    Lol, actually philly, I need about 40% to call, 5/(.65+.40+1.60+5+5) and with the range I gave I had 64%... (stove results above)
  7. #7
    i wouldn't worry about these types of hands at all. villain can have 2 pair. flushdraws , sets. definately a hand like KK, if villain is a thinking players he isn't always going to 3 bet KK preflop per definition. i'd be shipping it in there as well
  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by bhaley66 View Post
    Lol, actually philly, I need about 40% to call, 5/(.65+.40+1.60+5+5) and with the range I gave I had 64%... (stove results above)
    yea i thought it was like usual where it says "calls to 5 dollars" or w/e instead of being 5 dollars on top, so my math was like 3.45/(5+5+.65) or w/e

    as for the ranges, i didnt include all the 2 pairs that he can have, i can be comfortable with a range that gives us 54% equity (flushes/sets/2pairs/Ahkx AhJx/AQ) so its obviously a clear call/raise for value/ w/e

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