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Another noob here (only been playing for $ since Friday, though play money about 6 months)...
I look at - How many hands have they been playing?
- What have they shown down with -- when it's something I'd consider crap, did he raise (or reraise) with it?
- Does he like to c-bet, or will he check on the flop if it misses?
- Does he vary the PFR based on the strength of his hand (really easy to put some folks on +/- JJ with this one -- standard play might be to limp, raise for AK might be 3BB, but this is 5BB)
- Does he play a larger % of hands from the blinds, and does he appear to be playing position more than his cards?
- Does he have position on this hand?
- Can he resist firing at pots when other players look weak?
- How much does he bet at pots? Does 1/3 pot mean it's a probe bet, or that he's got a monster? Does he bet enough to remove drawing odds?
- How much does he value TPTK?
- What's his stack look like -- if he's way down in a tourney is this a blind steal attempt or does he have the goods?
- What're the odds I had a run of cards that's unbelievable lately and he thinks I'm a maniac that needs to be reraised out of a few hands?
Now, I generally play SnGs (though I'm working on my cash game) but most people have patterns.
In general (and I only play low stakes, and am far from Mr-Guru-Poker-Boddhisatva here):- If he's a tight player who limped into the pot and he reraises me and I don't see anything scary on the board, I'll lay down AA. I've been stung too many times with sets to think otherwise, and tight players deserve respect. Hell, I'll call a 4BB raise with 22, because if it hits we just might be playing for his stack...
- If he's playing from position (or if he's one of those that likes to steal from the blinds with "first in vigorish" and all that) and I've got a piece of the flop I'll reraise him 3-4x his bet to see if he's serious or not. Past observations should tell whether he'll lay it down at this point. If I got the nuts, I'll just call (gotta love a pair hitting quads on the flop). Note that I'm usually a fairly tight player so even if I'm wrong the first time or two I'd expect a fold from a solid player unless he's got the nuts.
- I'll compare the texture of the flop with the range of cards he likes to play, and see what his bet seems to mean in context. If he raises 4BB preflop, he always raises AK, the flop comes AKx, and he bets 1/3 of the pot I'm out (unless I made a set on the x card). A flop like QJx can require a much better feel for his play -- is he a guy that likes to play QJ into the face of a raise, or does he fold it?
This mostly works. Occasionally I'll hit QQ vs KK (like this morning) still, but I don't claim to be a pro. I'm happy to be playing while keeping my bankroll on even keel...
Now, I'll also say that if you're limping into a lot of pots with a lot of other players, then it's gonna be tough to get a good read. Solid reads are easier on good players, and especially when you raise enough to get them to fold their crap hands. If you're in a hand with an asshat who likes to call 10BB raises with 83o and you have paired trash on the board, what do you do?
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