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 Originally Posted by zook
Originally Posted by Thee One
I can't say I agree. Given that the typical 25NL player that I play against seems to have lower calling requirements in the BB as they feel they are already priced in.
I haven't played 25NL in about two months, but I think the numbers I used are reasonable for average 50NL players. I think most players think the way you do (that the blinds aren't worth much) so they aren't willing to defend them. But I do think you're right that there are more BB calling stations in 25NL.
So let's say the SB calls with 10% of hands and the BB with 20% of hands. Is that reasonable? I think those numbers are too high, but my original math still makes it marginally +EV (about +$0.01). That's not even considering that 25NL calling stations are usually terrible post- flop players, so you're probably winning WAY more than 20% of the hands when they call, as my analysis assumes. My stats are that I win 89% of hands when the SB or BB calls my steal attempt. Of course that's high because it doesn't differentiate when I am raising for value from when I stealing with trash.
I think we have to agree to disagree here.
Actually you're starting to convince me. (More later)
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