before i start, i'll just say that i know for absolute certain that i'm vulnerable to both a float and a flop raise playing my range the way i'm doing it. i'll get to why that doesn't change my answer in part 3 though:

1. i bet flop 4bb's with: A2s-A9s, AJs+, K7s-K9s, Q9s, 54s, 76s-98s, 75s-97s, J9s, J8s, A7o-A9o, AJo+, K9o, KJ+, QJ, 22-44, 77-99 {376 combos, i think, tough to do math with pen and paper}

i bet flop 6.5bb's with: TT+, 55, 66, 65s, QT+ {71 combos} and only plan to continue to a raise with (...wait for it.....) TT/66/55 65s for 11 combos lol.

so A) 376/447=84.1% of the time, he wins 7.5+4=11.5bb's no questions asked. so that's .841 x 11.5 = 9.67bb's

B) 15.9% of the time i bet 6.5bb's and it goes like this:
1) 60/71=84.5% of the time, he wins 14bb's, so that's .159 x .845 x 14 = 1.88bb's
2) 11/71=15.5% of the time, he has 4.327% equity, so:
2a) 4.327% of the time he wins 30bb's, so that's .159 x .155 x .04327 x 30= 0.032bb's
2b) 95.673% of the time he loses 22.5bb's, so that's .159 x .155 x .95673 x -22.5= -0.531bb's

so 9.67 + 1.88 + .03 + (-.53)= 11.05bb's, which is so lolol profitable for him.

2) part one already took forever and i am quite daunted by part 2, so i'll call it a day for now. basically i know it's going to be exploitable, but i don't care 'cause i play my range this way on the assumption that he wouldn't be raising air here, much less KQ. if i thought he was capable of raising the flop as a bluff, i'd be leading with a different range and 3b'ing with air and semi bluffs and stacking off with KK+ and so forth.

so i have that covered, in case i don't get around to part 3. i'm trying to exploit the fact that he plays far too predictably and that i can play SUPER unbalanced and bluff with 97% of my range (literally) and not try to go for any kind of anything that's remotely close to thin value because overpairs are practically the bottom of his range