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Spoony Exercise 3: Thinking About Your Own Range (Part 3)

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  1. #6
    Opening:{22+, A2s+, A8o+, K9s+, Q8s+, J8s+, 34s+, 89o+, all broadways}

    Betting: 9T-AT, 55, 66, TT+, 34s-78s, air hands.

    Checking: Midpair type hands, 5x, 6x, 77-99, 22-44

    1.) Are you vulnerable to a pot size raise against your flop c-betting range from Exercise 2 if villain has KQ?

    Number of combos I'm c-betting: AK (12), AQ (12), AJ (16), AT (12), A9 (16), A8 (16), A7 (4), A4 (4), A3(4), A2 (4), KQ (9), KJ (12) KT (9), K9s (4) QJ (12), QT (9), Q9s (4), Q8s (4), TJ (12), J9s (4), J8s (4), 9T (12), 89 (16), 55 (3), 66 (3), TT (3), JJ (6), QQ (3), KK (3), AA (6), 34s (4), 56s (4), 78 (4)

    Which is a total of: 250 combos

    I continue with: AT (12), 34s-78s (12), TT+ (21), 55 (3), 66 (3)

    Total of: 51

    I am continuing to a raise 51/250 = 20%
    Folding to a raise = 80%

    Answer for 1.) Yes, I am extremely exploitable to a raise from this villain on the flop.

    2.) Are you vulnerable to Villain calling the flop with KQ and betting 2/3 pot whenever you check the turn?

    Villain needs me to c/f 41% of my flop c-betting range on the turn in order for a float to be profitable with KQ.

    Board is T 6 5 J

    Of my flop c-betting range, I am c/f this range on the turn:

    AK (11), AQ (11), A9 (15), A8 (15), A7s (3), A4s (3), A3s (3), A2s (3), K9s (3), Q8s (3), J9s (4), J8s (4)

    For a total of: 78

    Check-folding turn: 78/250= 31%

    Answer for 2.) No, I am not vulnerable to a float if villain holds KQ.

    3.) The villain in these examples is said to be fairly nitty PF, not 3-betting enough to our opens, and extremely fit or fold post flop. Basically he's only playing his hand, never thinking about our range except to think that he's beat if he doesn't hit. We are exploiting his nitty tendencies by raising a wider range PF, and c-betting almost our entire range on certain flops since he will be folding a large portion of his range to our continued aggression. When he calls our flop c-bet though, we need to slow down and continue in the hand with hands that have a decent amount of equity.
    Last edited by dranger7070; 02-22-2010 at 09:00 AM. Reason: Fixed the % villain would need me to c/f

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