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 Originally Posted by spoonitnow
Assume 100bb starting stacks. The BU is a nitty TAGG who does not 3-bet very much pre- flop and does not seem to call raises with a wide range of hands. He plays fit-or- fold post- flop for the most part. Assume something like 11/9 in FR or 17/14 in 6-max. The SB is a loose-ish TAGG (think something like 18/15 in FR or 27/24 in 6-max) who 3-bets pre- flop 6% and is capable of 3-bluffing OOP. He also leads a lot of flops, c-bets 85%, and c-bets the turn 60%, being very aggressive. The BB is a complete unknown.
I'm still new so I'm probably going to be 'wrong', but I'll give this a go anyway to see how my answers compare.
It folds to our Hero pre-flop in the CO who raises to 3 times the big blind [1].
From late position I'd generally be raising 66+, AJ+, KJ+, T9s+, JTs+, Q9s+ K9s+, A4s+. I'm usually unlikely to raise with lower suited connectors. Given that the SB is loose, and the BB is unkown, the tightness of the BU is unlikely to lead to me making any changes to that in this situation.
The BU calls, and the blinds fold. The flop pot is 7.5 big blinds, and the flop comes T  6  5  . Hero bets 5 big blinds [2]
OK so the BU has something. He is unlikely to call my raise otherwise. My bet is giving him 4.5 : 1 pot odds, which should encourage him to fold if he has nothing, and not cost me too much to get information if he has something decent. Also the pot is rainbow, so flush draws are unlikely. With that in mind, my range isn't going to be all that small, but I've probably dropped the suited aces with low kickers. I'll have the obvious 66, TT+ (Remember I wouldn't normally have raised 55 so it's already out of my range) as well as some speculative pair-drawing hands like T9+ JT+, QT+, KT+, AT+, the straight drawing hands Q9, K9, and the other pairs 77+, and possibly A9s+ just on the off chance of the flush draw.
and the BU calls. The turn pot is 17.5 big blinds with 92 big blinds behind. The turn card makes the board T 6 5 J . Hero bets 13 big blinds [3]
Now I'm convinced that the BU has hit something good on the flop, and not just a drawing hand. He would likely have folded to my cbet otherwise. With that in mind I'm only betting an almost pot-sized amount if I think I have the best hand or the odds to draw it. I'm eliminating the use of the pot bet to shorten his odds, because I already think he has his hand. With that in mind, I'm down to the remaining tens TJ+ and jacks JT+, and I'll drop a lot of the pairs, including 66, since I'm not comfortable with 3rd best possible set anymore, leaving me with TT, JJ. The straight-, pair-, and flush-drawing hands are gone, because my bet makes the odds of hitting them too small. The bet gives me 2.3 : 1 pot odds if it's called, and I'd need 15 outs for that to be profitable in the long run. The board just doesn't give me those sorts of odds.
and the BU calls. The river pot is 43.5 big blinds with 79 big blinds left behind. The river card makes the board T 6 5 J T . Hero bets 26 big blinds [4]
I'm only betting with the nuts or close to it, for a value bet. TT, JT, JJ.
, and the BU folds.
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