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If I'm going to be calling with a hand deep against a nit I'd like to have a hand that can make something sort of nutish. I'm likely 3b or folding this pre. Versus a 14/9 probably folding.
So you peel a gutshot on the flop because this board smashes his range and we have good implied odds when we hit our Q... but now we're setting up a multiple street bluff on a card where his c/c range could be strong'ish? (could have Jx, KQ, AK, AA)? Not to mention we're trying to rep Jx and only Jx when FD's brick, is a risky proposition here.
I take it you're betting a river brick 5 as well?
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