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 Originally Posted by Poker Orifice
I think it's a fold (just from a purely ICM perspective).
as we're sitting we have 35.8% equity in tourney
If we call
& win we have 49% < --- no 44.64%
call & lose 0%
44.64 * .85 = 37.95 = assumes 85% equity vs range.
37.985 > 35.8
This is a super +ev call guys. The fact that doubling up gives us a dominating lead makes it so. Yes ICM exists and thats why you need about 80% equity to call here.
Uhm, crap I'm pretty sure we don't get 49% of the prize pool if we win this . . edited.
Correct #s is 44.64 % of prize pool for doubling..
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