|
SH 25NL facing all in with draw.
PF Raiser is 19/13/7.0 and cbets about 90% over 243. Did some crazy shit a couple dozen hands ago where he 3bet me with KQo, cbet the flop, and check raised the turn all in with simple over cards. The blind is 28/21/3.0, and donk-called with second pair according to my notes. I'm playing 22/18. 19/13 didn't take long to call his shove.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB ($27.35)
BB ($27.45)
UTG ($36.40)
MP ($25.25)
Hero (Button) ($47.65)
Preflop: Hero is Button with 9 , 8
UTG bets $1, 1 fold, Hero calls $1, 1 fold, BB calls $0.75
Flop: ($3.10) 4 , 10 , 7 (3 players)
BB checks, UTG bets $2.50, Hero raises to $5.50, BB raises to $26.45 (All-In), UTG raises to $35.40 (All-In), Hero has odds of 2.36:1. Enough?
I'm putting the raiser on an overpair, AA everytime, and JJ occationally. A set, and maybe AT, but probably not. The shover I think has the same, but AT is more of a likely hood, 98s, 56s, 74s, slow played aces from time to time, and sometimes - rarely, mind - a bluff.
Plugging that into stove, if I'm approximating the "maybe" hands correctly, this is a breakeven call. I may as well fold for variance, no? Are these ranges reasonable?
|