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 Originally Posted by L_Clan_Sup3rMaN
That is one hell of an assumption based on so few hands and no reads. I think that pretty much is leveling yourself into a call. A 40/23 doesnt say much (especially over such small sample) besides his loose and bad preflop. Says nothing about his postflop game and if his aggressive to the point where his super spewy. Hero has no reads. Their are many bad players who cant value bet for their lives and check flop sets even on drawy boards like its the nuts and can not be beaten. Also, bad players are more likely to call ur bets light unless he has some specific read that his super spewy postflop, where in that case, they will raise ur bets light. Without further info, this is a fold on the river.
You know what, I didn't realize just how big of a raise that was. You're calling almost $12 to win $14, so without reads I would fold, too.
I don't know why, I was thinking you only needed about 35% equity, which I would call. I hope I don't make mistakes like that at the tables!
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