Quote Originally Posted by daviddem View Post
That's because of post #15 above, where I found that shoving is better than checking behind IP if opp folds at least 30% of his checking range to a shove.

Not sure where you are getting "EV of a call = -1.64 and Villian is only calling with 9 hands." What bet are you talking about that we are calling here? And where do you get 9 hands for villain's calling range? He has 45 combos in his calling range if I counted correctly (12x AK, 12x AQ, 12x AJ, 3x 33, 3x 55, 3x AA).
I don't think Counting Combos changes anything here.

Because if you fold KK you're folding 4 combos of KK which is still roughly 9% of the combos, meaning we're still getting 20.00 for his fold 1 out of 10 times. And if he has a combo of AT which our opponent is folding there are like 12 combos of that which are being folded which will balance out the paired combos.

We still make money if our opponent ever has a wider range that he's getting into the hand with, than what he's folding in this instance. I think.