seeming reg reppin' thin

i also can't imagine why you're considering calling against a 25nl reg with no history or reads.

he can easily have 44 55 as well as A5s and A4s and if he was bluffing with 67 that got there on the river and it's completely feasible for him to jam it.

you beat K high Q high and J high, possibly T high. it's also impossible to know if he's even bluffing these hands because #1 a very rare few people will do it and barrel it off after c/ring and getting called. #2 you have no reads to know if he's capable of even bluffing the flop with those hands.

pairs also have a lot of show down value on this board as everyone bluffs this board btn vs sb so he can happily c/c 1 and c/f two and feel great about it. that makes it even more unlikely he's bluffing here.

it's also absurdly unlikely he overbet jams as a bluff because the A has paired the turn and no one folds trips good kicker at these stakes.

Originally Posted by bikes

it's also absurdly unlikely he overbet jams as a bluff because the A has paired the turn and no one folds trips good kicker at these stakes.

i did. but i then went and made a thread on a poker forum about it.

ps thanks for elaborating on why to fold as you did above. it's appreciated.

as regards counting combos, i just counted how many combos of FH's were possible, and then tried to decide how likely he is to have them in his range/how often (if ever) he shows up with AT-AQ (i doubt 76 overbet jams once the board has paired as i still have all of the FH's in my range on this board). is this the wrong approach?