|
 Originally Posted by TrAdam5
I play at 100 NL, and I have learned at that level its futile to try to push people whom you don't have very good reads on off of top pair in spots like this, because people simply can't/ don't fold (This is great for value bets, not so much for bluffing in spots like this). So did u fire here because u thought he was floating with air, or can u push most opp. off top pair/mediocre-poor kicker more readily at 400 NL in this spot. Did you have a read on the opponent that led u to betting out here? If he calls you quickly here and u put him on a weak ace how often are u betting/pushing river?
I didn't have a good read on villain in this hand. He was running 33/10/2 over ~100 hands but I'd only been at the table for a few orbits. I'd raised pre-flop and c-bet him HU once before and he folded. From his stats alone and the fact I didn't have many datamined hands on him, I figured he wasn't a regular and wasn't particularly strong. Strong players in this game generally have stats in the range of 18/14 to 24/20. The reason I second-barreled here is b/c this is the kind of flop people don't tend to believe c-bets on. When he c/c'ed my c-bet I put him on Ax/Qx/JJ-88(lower?). I second barreled b/c I thought he would fold weak aces (<A8 maybe?) and the pocket pairs, which make up the majority of his range. Maybe folding weak aces here is difference between 100nl and 400nl. If he flat calls my second barrel, I'm giving up the river. I might be able to push him off an ace with a river shove, but I don't know enough about this guy to risk my stack doing it.
 Originally Posted by TrAdam5
Hand 2.)
Hand 1 was a nice play, but Hand 2 I' m extremely impressed with (assuming the plays u make like this are successful a high percentage of the time). At least at 100 NL, when somebody calls u on the flop and miniraises u on the turn its a vast majority of the time (at least it would seem to me) a donk broadcasting to the world that he hit trips and wants to milk the hand for every penny he can get. I realize this is 6-max, so plays like this are more common. Was there a particular read u had on you opponent that made u think ur opponent was repping here and wasn't sitting on trips? If my opponent makes this play on the flop I might be more inclined to think it is a steal, but on the turn after calling on the flop and now miniraising, this seems like a strong play by the opponent. So what led u to make this play, and how do u determine when it is a donk with trips versus a bluff here by you opp.
Here I had a better read. Villain was a lagg, 40/16/3.6 over ~200 hands. I'd seen him float and steal before (although by betting when checked to on the turn not by minraising) and 3-bet pre-flop a few times (with?) but I hadn't seen him showdown any big bluffs. Most importantly, I'd been playing tight at this table and hadn't showndown any bluffs or made big bets and then folded. After he calls my c-bet his range is wide, KQ-KT/maybe Kxs/AJ/QJ/JT/QT/TT-88/air. The turn minraise just looks really suspicious to me... I think a K is worried about AK and a good player realizes that raising with a hand like KT allows me to play perfectly by folding worse and calling/raising better (unless he's really leveling me and thinks I'll push with worse over his minraise, if so gg). So in my mind, this minraise only made sense as a bluff or a monster (JJ/KJ/55) and I decided a bluff made up much a bigger part of his range. It's also possible (but unlikely) that I got him to fold a weak K.
Make sense? Looking back, the second hand was a bit of an instinct play and may have been spewy. It's hard not to be results-oriented. I don't make this kind of play very often, but I think when you have a read that a tricky, aggressive player is making a move on you, the board is scary and you have a solid image, you should occasionally make plays like this.
They definitely don't always work. Here's one from last night vs. a solid, tricky tagg regular (20/15/2.8) where I shouldn't have bet the river b/c my line looks way too stealy in a blind battle and a good player could look me up with a wide range.
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $2/$4 - 6 players - Converter
Stack sizes:
UTG: $229.70
UTG+1: $54.60
CO: $189.50
Button: $86.35
SB: $872.80
Hero: $491.80
Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with Q 6
4 folds, SB raises to $14, Hero calls.
Flop: T 7 6 ($28, 2 players)
SB bets $22, Hero calls.
Turn: T ($72, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $50, SB calls.
River: A ($172, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $120, SB calls.
Results:
Final pot: $412
SB showed 9h Tc
Hero showed Qh 6h
|