|
if seat 5 is a "collected player," whom you respect...you should never call his raise w/ K4. i know it was sooooted, but c'mon. thats a loose call, at any table, imo. and you didnt even have position on them.
as it were, you have no implied odds because of the push...so you cant use those. your only hope, if your read was correct (overpair) was the flush and maybe another out or two for the K, but your kicker sucks, so you cant be confident in that.
but, the other caller DOES change things...a little. you now are getting 2:1 (not 2.5:1 because of you being covered. the most you can win is $45...of which $15 was yours..any more in the middle means nothing to you, only them). so, say you have 9 outs (flush) and another 1 (K, which in reality you didnt because of the AA)...thats 10 total...the money went in on the flop, so, 10 X 4 (roughly) gives you a 40% (prolly closer to 44%), to hit. you need 2.5:1 to call, so, its marginal...but technically, not enough...you need another caller. i dont risk my stack here. but, i'm also not in the pot preflop, either.
sure, it would have hit...but if i had the rake for everytime i "would have hit..." well, you know the rest.
lesson here, imo: K4s UTG sucks, even at a loose table...but especially, TO A RAISER that you have respect for.
fold it, and laugh when the 3 diamond hits the river.
dont get me wrong, KXs may be a money maker at this table...but in late position, and not to a solid raiser.
|