XTR1000

First thank you for starting this thread, I think this is a great topic of disussion. I know that I find myself struggling with these very concepts.

Quote Originally Posted by XTR1000
There are probability guessing experiments*, where humans get beaten by rats, b/c the human mind rather guesses a (in these experiments non existant) pattern than the probability.

Recognizing any pattern alone is worthless as long as you can´t assign a range to it. We may draw conclusions based on frequencies, but yet we should keep in mind, that those conclusions are based on information with <100% certainty.
I think this is spot on. The question is how do we put more emphasis on using the probability in a given situation, versus using the percieved pattern? I know that I fall into this trap.


Quote Originally Posted by XTR1000
Furthermore poker is rather a statistic & probability class than a soulreading/guessing game. Its not Rounders, it´s 11th grade homework. It shouldnt be exciting, it should be chilled and calculated.
Great statement. I know that I struggle with this area. I find it very difficult to not become emotionally invested in a big hand. I think this is an area that a person can condition themself to overcome. For those of us who are part timers, I think that we struggle with this area more than not.