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 Originally Posted by Thunder
As my example shows, I find it holds very well up to 10 outs. And still close enough for 12 outs. Certainly enough to let you know of the correct decision up to 14 outs: 14x2 = 28%. 14 x 4 = 52%. Actual figures being 30.4% and 51.2%. That's close enough for me.
Where I live 14*4 = 56
 Originally Posted by Thunder
And anything above 15 outs, you'll shove with anyway. Be it 54% or 15x4 (60%) .
Most of the times, not always, as anything in poker, it depends
 Originally Posted by Thunder
It is also possible to be behind AA and have 20 outs, and you can also be behind and have a guantee for at least 1/2 the pot, it all depends.
In the hand you posted I think you played it fine, but you cannot be sure you have 12 outs, you may have more or less
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