I can't do the math of others, but I have to agree that this would be a check and fold. I may call 1 SB on the flop just to see if I improve, depending on the table. However, with the cards you have, and the board, I would want more than the low end of an ISD to play further.

And the "Checking to the Raiser" point they make is a great point that I didn't think of. Seems the situation they set up is a perfect situation to fall into a trap.