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 Originally Posted by Lukie
I think it's pretty clear that you are beat here, but why not just call and hope to flop a set? Maybe you can make this fold if you think the guy behind you is going to push, but he didn't come over the top of the first reraise.
There is about $14 in the pot when it gets to me and my opponent has about $14 behind, so I could likely win $28 if I hit my set. I have to call $5.75 for the chance. That's $28-to-$5.75 or less than 5-to-1. I like to be getting 8-to-1 if I'm sure he is committed to his hand. It's clear he is committed here, but I'm not getting 8-to-1. I think calling here loses money in the long run.
If I could also destack the other opponent in the hand, then it might be profitable. But I think the chances of that are less than 50%.
If the raise was only something like $4 for me to call, I would have called with the correct implied odds.
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