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QQ facing a bad turn card
http://weaktight.com/1889893
Ok preflop is normal - I should likely 3bet to $1.20 since I'll be oop the whole hand and his continuing range will be the same but that's a minor point.
3bet calling range is probably 55-JJ,AT-AQ,KQ, maybe a few other suited broadways - I doubt he ever gets tricky and flats AA/KK here.
Flop is draw heavy; vs his range it's semi wet lots of flush draws and gut shots possible. He probably thinks an over pair like 99 is good here since we have a history. http://weaktight.com/1893561
So I bet for value against his range trying to build a pot and get value from flush draws, smaller over pairs and random straight draws like AJ. My plan if he raises is to jam given history and I believe he may sometimes raise his better draws/overpairs along with sets(if possible?).
Turn is the worst card in the deck apart from the 2c because it completes every draw and makes his over pair hands less likely to pay off. At the time I wasn't sure if turn was a b/f or c/f really like your opinions on this.
I talked to the guys in irc and they said river was a bet/fold as played - c/c probably doesn't achieve that much. Would he ever check back a made straight/flush?
I doubt he thinks about ranges but he may think I'm FOS given the other hand.
Comments appreciated.
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