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 Originally Posted by Simoner
you definitely bluffed the river, but i don't understand why - what did you think he had? he called two strong bets on the flop and turn, so a set, two pair or TPTK are all likely. he can release only a KQ in this spot, and you bluff him?
you also make no reference as to what kind of player you're up against - at 5NL this could be a clueless calling station as well as a tight-weak player; both require different approaches to handle.
Ok....im about to demonstrate why i am a break-even player at 10NL after 200,000 hands (flame away i know i am bad). I dont hate the way you played this. I like your bet sizing on all streets. Considering its 5NL, we don't have any info and he limped from UTG and called your raise, id put him on a range 22+ KTo/s+ ATo+. He is calling your flop bet with 22, TT+, KT, KJ, KQ, QT, AT,. He will call you down with this range on the turn and river. I would b/f the river.
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 36.567% 35.82% 00.75% 144 3.00 { QQ }
Hand 1: 63.433% 62.69% 00.75% 252 3.00 { TT+, 22, ATs, KTs+, QTs, ATo, KTo+, QTo }
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