Quote Originally Posted by Aerenel
I don't know if looking at it all-together is accurate, since each hand is individual and each hand has separate odds. Isn't that the same as saying I didn't hit my 3:1 flush draw the last 6 times, so I have to hit it this time? Which is clearly a case of the gambler's fallacy.
No Sir it is not. If you are tossing a coin 100 times and talking about losing 99

a) before it happens

Saying losing 99 out of 100 would be rediculously unlikely

is fine

b) After losing 99 out of 100 saying

Well Obviously I have to win the next one or life is rigged

Is silly.


Hes saying that most people who are losing this badly at these stakes are actually making some (or alot) of poor plays. This isnt necessarily the case but it usually is. If it is in fact true that you are just getting insanely unlucky then hopefully it will even out and you will become profitable. Even so Id write a will just incase.