You have 100 dollars and QQ under the gun. You raise to 4 and villain makes it 14 from the button. He also has 100 dollars.

You are absolutely certain that his threebetting range is precisely QQ+ AK.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

297,940,896 games 0.469 secs 635,268,434 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 40.2071 % 38.35% 01.86% { QQ }
Hand 2: 59.7929 % 57.93% 01.86% { QQ+, AKs, AKo }


If you make the call, you are in a shitty spot when you flop an overpair out of position. But when you hit a set, you win his stack a significant percentage of the time.

Is this really a fold to the 14 raise?