shortys like this push so much trash, maths or not, you have to be ahead of HIS range by a good bit.
if he's a normal (bad) shorty, he is pushing any A here and any pp, a lot of K-crap, and two broadways.
you should be killing that range. it may be a bit wide, but with super shortys, they push all sorts of stuff they shouldnt.
its more a player/bad player call than a math call, imo.