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 Originally Posted by wellrounded08
Disclaimer, this is me asking for advice, in the form of advice.
First off, NH Slevin, nice quads.
Ok, the way my fishy fish ass see's it is this. There's no other 5's out there, so there's no Opponent that isn't afraid of you having a 5 especially on the BB. So I' m probably folding everything but pocket queens and Kx of spades to your(in my opinion) obvious c/c -c/r. And as far as the river, unless villain has Kx of spades he's super worried that you have it (since you waited until the river to open) and will only call with his lesser flush(again what the hell do I know?)
My line might be (if i' m wrong PLEASE correct me, as I DON'T know how to bet this most profitably)
Hope with all my little heart that some donk tried to slow pay Q's preflop. Or hope that someone had a couple of spades they would be willing to call down with.
Check pre
Bet but pretty much give odds on flop (for the spade draw)
" " same on turn, give odds.
Bet pot on river and look for a reraise since they caught it.( would this be right guys?)
EDIT: This line (as intended) might work for someone with a Q but obviously don't look for a raise on the river
Couple things:
Flop is Q55 - what does this mean? It means that instead of 3 card denominations that can have made a pair for someone there are only 2. Instead of 9 cards that can be in someone's hand and have hit the board for a pair there are only 5. That means everyone in this hand is LESS likely to have hit any part of the board. A paired board (especially with a single high card and two low) is often described as a bluffing board for this reason - it MISSES a lot of people.
Second part: Two fives are on the board - that leaves two fives not on the board. If a single five is on the board there are 3 fives that can be in hand combinations and pair the board - if there are two fives on board there are only two that someone can hold. Everyone is LESS likely to be holding a 5 because the board is paired. Unfortunately you're in the BB and checked so any 5 you could hold you still can - if you had raised a lot of J5 and similar hands would just not be possible and he could rule them out for you - but conversely in this case you could also have J6 type hands (that pair the turn) - they are in fact much more likely than any hand with a 5.
If you think someone has to have a 5 here there's only a short time until someone comes and tells you you are suffering from MUBs. Yep, that's Monsters Under the Bed.
Any single queen feels GOOD here - you have top pair, and it's unlikely anyone else has a piece of the board.
When Hero checks preflop and check/calls the flop bet he might have two spades, any pocket pair, any queen all the way down to Q2o. Any of these hands (including spade hands with 6s) can do the check/raise on the turn. Especially consider that villains turn bet is small - maybe Hero thinks it's weakness and tries to push him off his 'air'?
I think the villain will stack off with many queens, and even more if the check/raise on the turn had been a bit bigger so he is more thoroughly committed by the river.
Ok, you say to bet to GIVE ODDS to drawing hands on the flop. I understand you - it's a variant on slowplaying. Don't do it. Check my thread on why you play the nuts again please. You have to play your hand in a way that looks like you are trying to price out draws - bet strongly to make your hand look VULNERABLE - and keep him in. Big bets don't want calls, do they? This will also make pure bluffy cbets on similar boards more profitable when he's seen you play quads as if it was air.
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