Quote Originally Posted by michael1123
(35% chance of catching in what will be a $60 pot if he calls)
To nitpick a little more, shouldn't we be looking only at the size of the pot before he calls, since if he folded at this point, the $15 is still his (the only way it isn't is if he calls and loses)? Still, $15 to call in a $45 pot when you know that no additional bets will be coming...that's perfect odds for a flush draw; just better than the 35% for it to hit.