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 Originally Posted by Cocco_Bill
hmm..
for all you know your opponent could have KA here and equally scared of the flush. Checking is just inviting a bluff and even if he does have the flush you have outs.
We are talking raw odds here, not 'possibilities'. In a game of luck such as drawing cards, possibilities are endless. Probabilities are what grows the bank when the wagering component is factored in. Is it 'possible' that the opponent has the 4th king? Sure. Such is the nature of the game.
It's a helluva lot more likely that he has a phantom diamond, though.
The fact is, if you are playing against good players in a scenario like the one above (a scenario we've all been in up against the dirty flush...), they're going to view anything less than a serious post river wager as a prod bet- either because you've filled in a flush with a low diamond, or because you are sitting on something inferior to a flush and wanna know what they have.
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