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 Originally Posted by ProfessorOfOuts
x is the amount you're likely to win if you hit your set, I would put this on average between 1/2 to the total of the pot
If you stack someone you'll win about 20 times the pre-flop pot. So if you stack someone even every tenth time you flop a set from the SB your profit is already waaay above your estimate.
Originally Posted by ProfessorOfOuts
The play would net you a whopping $1.50 on average, 15% of the BB. I really don't like making calls with an EV that marginal.
Me on the other hand, I don't like giving away money by folding when calling is profitable.
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