Hand 5

I had come to same conclusion as Chopper did here. I'm basically playing against and medium strength hand and a random one. I screwed up on my estimate of ranges when I played the hand. Since I don't often limp UTG, I had no good estimates for the types of hands I might be facing. Chances are med/weak pp's, maybe some sooted Broadway junk or sooted aces.

The thing about his likely range is that it's VERY unlikely the BB connected with this flop. And a random hand is more likely to turn up with TT+ than something that connects with this flop.

So, I was way ahead and let their donk bets confuse the issue for me.

Maximizing earn, if I had it to play over, I would call the flop bets. The BB is nearly pot-committed after the flop, so he's more likely to push the turn, which UTG probably calls. So, given the stack sizes here, my biggest earn to try to get the BB all-in with garbage, and do it in a way so that UTG can call.

If I can get BB all-in by the turn (about $4.25), I'm v-betting $1.50 on the river in almost all situations.

There's only a slight chance I lose this hand, even if two more cards come. So play it slower, and make v-bets instead of a big c/r.