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Hi DrVV,
I think you are having some of he same issues as I once did. Let me explain some of your leaks.
1. POSITION: Though good, you need some real working on it. Play less early and more on the last two to three. Notice that Button thru CO+1 are good plays with PFR and limping, but play a bit more here and less UTG. I like to see 5thru 7 around 10% VP$IP with a 4-5% PFR while the last three 20+% and half that number as PFR.
2. Your SB Play sucks. Remember SB play, you may be adding 1/2 the BB bet to see the flop, but you'll always be first post-flop. Play SB like you were UTG. You've probably lost 400-600 BBs just in this position.
3. I like your Cold Call percentage. Maybe re-raise some PP hands or any AK.
4. Your biggest leak next to SB play is aggressiveness. You're betting 5 to 1 hands vs. calling. Wanna make big pots? Call with monster hands on the flop (provided the price doesn't give someone odds to draw out), then go aggressive on the turn and river. Let them donate the money on the flop (and maybe turn), then go aggressive. You're basically betting too much (over half of your actions post-flop). The only time you shoud really be betting on the flop is when you have anything in the later positions or it is checked to you and you're last to act with only a few players in the pot. Save early position plays for C-Bets and Monster hand plays (trips, etc.). Also bet less on the turn. River looks fine, though you make more money (and lose less) by playiing more passively on the flop and turn.
5. I think your WTSD % is a little low. Call some bets on the river vs. aggressive types more frequently when you feel you have a moderate hand, and fold to passive bettors without a strong hand. I like to see this closer to 25%. I noticed our folded to a river bet is quite high (73%). 23% of your hands at the river are folded. Call more often (plus even if you lose one against one, you gain information on what your opponent was doing.
6. Look at your stats from about hands 850 to about 4900 (based on your first graph). See this continous upward trend? This is where you've been successful. After that peak of around +243 BB, you start lossing consistently.
7. Like Kinbor said, you're losing most from the BB. Remember the blinds are an early position play and here bet only on the flop with good draws vs. a few opponents and monster hands.
8. YOU"RE BIGGEST LEAK: You are breaking the bais poker cardinal rule. Remember Kenny Rogers once siad, "You've got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold 'em. Know when to walk away, and know when to run.". You're only folding 6-7% of your hands post flop, Way too low. Not to mention only calling 2% of the time. You're either betting or raising. Once again, as mentioned in point #4 above, you're way too aggressive and can't seem to know when you are beat - or when you know you've got them beat, allow them to donate to your stack. You will make more money by folding more often then the way you're betting. You will make more money with very-strong hands when you only call and fold when you know you're beat. They are making money from you because you're bluffing too much.
9. Are you playing within your Bankroll? By the way you're playing $25NL, you may have yet to master maybe $10NL. If your BR is below $500, better go back to $10 NL for a while and fine tune your skills while making money at it, then go back to the bigger limits.
10. As far as HH... Get rid of ATo (unless on the button or the BB with no PFR). This hand trully sucks overall. Look at you're biggest losing hands and what did you do wrong there (bet or raised vs. a calling station? Raised or called vs. a passive player bet? Didn't read the hands correctly?). Gaurentee only a few will have a "lucky beat". Also look at your biggest pay off hands. What did you do correctly in those sitations?
Hope this heps. Good luck. [/i]
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