Most flops are.....

Originally Posted by philly and the phanatics

1, rainbow...2 two tone...3.monotone

way i see it is you have 3 cards coming out and 4 suits, it wouldnt make sense for it to be MORE likely that one of those 4 suits having 2 or 3 cards come out...pretty blazed so not sure im making sense but yea im sticking with rainbow

By far its two tone first, then rainbow, then monotone is like 10 times less likely

Agree with the numbers already posted for rainbow and monotone.

I calculated two tone slightly differently from everyone else. The way I thought about it is there are two ways to make a two tone flop: When the second card matches the first card and when the second card does not match the first card.

When the second card matches the first card then we want the third card to be one of the other three suits, so I set the equation up like this:

52/52 * 12/51 * 39/50 = 18.4%

When the second card does not match the first card then the third card has to match either the first card or the second card. There are 12 left of the first suit and 12 left of the second suit so the equation looks like this:

52/52 * 39/51 * 24/50 = 36.7%

These are the two ways to make a two tone flop, so add the probabilities together and you get

Probability Two tone flop = 18.4 + 36.7 = 55.1%

Is this gunna have something to do with people assuming there up against fd's too often/ dont bet/fold enough when the 3rd of a suit falls?