Monthly Conceptualization: Slightly Ahead/Slightly Behind Spots

Hand 2:

Originally Posted by mondayscool

Villain is 15/10 0 3bet, 6.0 agg factor over 40 hands

Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players

CO: $4.39 (219.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $5.02 (251 bb)
SB: $2 (100 bb)
BB: $1.09 (54.5 bb)
UTG+2: $0.95 (47.5 bb)
MP1: $1.92 (96 bb)
MP2: $0.59 (29.5 bb)
MP3: $5 (250 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5 4
5 folds, Hero raises to $0.08, SB calls $0.07, BB folds

Flop: ($0.18) 2 T Q (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.13, SB raises to $0.30, Hero . . .

FACTORS IN ACTION: Villain seems competent but is out of position. We are absolutely changing our stack-off frequency and how much we control the size of the pot when the turn makes our flush a 5-high flush on a 4-flushed board lol. We're also going to be able to get away from our hand when the board pairs the T or the Q because the only hand we will be beating is AsQx, which would have a TON of equity against us (11 outs on a T turn and 17 outs on a Q turn). Villain will obviously be less and less pumped about his QT, 33, AsQx type hands as more blanks come out, but he will still have a VERY strong hand on the turn, and will still almost definitely bet into us again, at which we can raise and put him in a tough spot with his now reduced equity.

CONCLUSION: The turn allows us to play our hand better against villain's range, so we should be more willing to leave more money behind for later streets.