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Middle set on river, two villains, poss straight/wet board ($5NL micros)

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  1. #1
    Quote Originally Posted by rowhousepd View Post
    FYI, I checked the flop bc there were overcards and it was multiway on a drawy board. I was mostly afraid of the UTG who easily could have had a Q (poss AQ or KQ, or maybe KK). But when everyone checked on the F and then UTG checked again on the turn, I had to put in a good sized bet for value and to thin the herd. I wasn't worried about OESD's as I didn't think he'd PFR & call a 3bet w/ like KJ or J9, so I thought I was still ahead even on the turn since flush draws were now my biggest concern.

    Am I ok in this line of thinking?
    Even if he had an OESD your still ahead by a good bit. You're probably right about them rarely having it pre. The main reasons to bet here are protection from A/K rivers and value betting vs draws and Tx. I think your bet sizing is perfect.
  2. #2
    Also, I didn't think UTG had QQ, flopped a set, and then was prepared to check to the river. Ditto w/ a set of tens. And probably ditto w/ an AA or KK overpair. These plus AKs/o are definitely w/in their range -- suited was a possibility but definitely not off-suit as that would have just been an inside straight draw w/ overcards. But still I think a 75% pot bet on the turn would make it a mistake to call w/ anything that was only drawing ... I think.

    Does that sound reasonable?

    Quote Originally Posted by HarleyGuy13 View Post
    You need to put them on ranges and figure out your equity. If I'm not mistaken you only need like 28% equity to make this a call I think since you're being asked to call $2.15 in order to win $7.77 (.2767)
    Uggg. (Ok, here's my newbie-ness showing.) How does this work exactly? I put this through PokerStove vs. 2 villains each a ~6% range. (That might be conservative, but it's probably not waaay off.) My equity is almost exactly 25%. Still a bit confused though.

    Quote Originally Posted by daven View Post
    3bet pre is interesting. Reasoning?
    reads on button are important, absent reads and bet-fold flop all day, about $0.75 should get it done.
    Would you have just called PFR from UTG w/ JJ? Didn't have any great reads on them except their stats -- both were pretty sane.

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