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I think a big key (but obviously not the whole answer, just trying to get discussion going) is to consider villain's tenancies, not just in general but in that SPECIFIC spot on that specific board, and derive which line allows you to get exploited the least.
this can actually be pretty simple for BC'ers since regs at 10nl- are usually very straight forward, single-street bluffers. so let's say we're at 10nl and villain is 20/16 w/ a 75% cbet, this spot will usually be very very easy to play on this board. since villain's range is like QTo+, 22+, 54s+, 86s+, etc. we can obv profitably c/c the flop, knowing that a second barrel from him will likely mean he either has TP+, or a very good draw that has sick equity against our hand anyway (note, many 10nl regs don't even double barrel very good draws here), and just fold.
in other words, we're not getting exploited by this particular opponent on this particular board with his particular PF range by c/c'ing the flop only to c/f the turn because villain's flop betting range is like {everything}, where as his turn betting range is very strong and consists of zero hands that we dominate and few hands that we're ahead of at all.
let's say similar scenario, different opponent. let's say villain opens in the CO, who is very very aggressive in position and mindlessly barrels with any hand that has equity against TP and hardly even has a concept of SD value 'cause second pair has 5 outs to two pair+ amirite? anyway, you flat and flop comes K76dd. just to make shit tougher, let's say he cbets like 62% and has some vague concept of checking back flops with air. you check and he cbets.
realize that any card from 4-A (in other words, anything but a 2 or a 3) and any diamond are going to improve some portion of his range to a draw good enough to justify barrelling for this player type. this is without mentioning the fact that he might pick up a bottom pair that he thinks is worth barrelling 'cause it has 5 outs against Kx and might auto barrel an A turn 'cause he saw it in a redline video somewhere (50nl 6m regs FTW!).
clearly c/c'ing the flop only to auto c/f just about any turn is the best way to make his over-aggressive play +EV, which is what we want to avoid. we want to exploit this opponent by flopping strong and value owning him, or by having a relatively wide c/c flop, c/r turn range, etc. we do not want to get into a calling war with a hand that we're forced to fold to multiple barrels.
this doesn't necessarily mean that call preflop, c/f most flops is the best answer. this means that we have a lot of thinking to do (probably the reason why you started this thread). we have to think from the second that villain opens on the CO, how are we going to play this hand +EV? is our hand strong enough/villain's tendancies predictable enough so that we can call multiple streets on many flops postflop? is villain's range strong enough, or is he really THAT crazy with a super weak range to get stacked often enough for us to profitable play this hand for pure set mining value? does our hand flop strong enough to rebluff with a reasonable frequency? it seems tough for 99 to be a fold to a single raise against a weak range preflop, but it's not as retarded of a plan as calling only to c/c one street and auto-pilot c/f to just about any double barrel.
as for the flop, is this a spot where villain is going to barrel a lot (he may be less likely on an A72r board)? is he barrelling infrequently enough/cbetting enough to where we can c/c the flop profitably and comfortably c/f to another barrel? is he barrelling FREQUENTLY enough to where we can exploit him by c/c'ing multiple streets, including maybe even c/c'ing all the way down if all obvious draws miss (doing this often is not advisable, btw)?
you gotsta plan out how many streets you and on which cards you can call.
those are just some introductory thoughts. thread has some real good potential if people are motivated enough to post a lot of hands itt that we can breakdown with ABCD exploitative play shiite.
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