mentality post for the new guys...

post from a blog...

it seems there's no end in sight...for now. but, i read an article on "the long term." and, it really helped. i heard of downswings of 500BB+. one that really stuck out:

a guy said he has over 600k hands in a db. he said he is MUCH better the last 100k than his first 100k hands...duh. but, his winrate over the last 100k was smaller than his first 100k. he said, "dont underestimate the luck factor in this game...ever."

that comment stuck. i think he may be right. when you keep seeing Q3o suckout on you, or outflop you, it hurts. when you get AA capped only to find it rivered by a flush draw, it hurts. you start to think they can see your cards, or that the game is "rigged." rest assured, its probably not. its a game of long term decisions and short term luck...we all know that.

so, i checked my graph in BB's. i went on a super heater of 498 BBs up, and in a short time frame (5k hands). i am only on a 230 BB downswing (4k hands). its not much in those terms. so, i should quit bitching and just play the best i can.

Originally Posted by Chopper

post from a blog...

it seems there's no end in sight...for now. but, i read an article on "the long term." and, it really helped. i heard of downswings of 500BB+. one that really stuck out:

a guy said he has over 600k hands in a db. he said he is MUCH better the last 100k than his first 100k hands...duh. but, his winrate over the last 100k was smaller than his first 100k. he said, "dont underestimate the luck factor in this game...ever."

that comment stuck. i think he may be right. when you keep seeing Q3o suckout on you, or outflop you, it hurts. when you get AA capped only to find it rivered by a flush draw, it hurts. you start to think they can see your cards, or that the game is "rigged." rest assured, its probably not. its a game of long term decisions and short term luck...we all know that.

so, i checked my graph in BB's. i went on a super heater of 498 BBs up, and in a short time frame (5k hands). i am only on a 230 BB downswing (4k hands). its not much in those terms. so, i should quit bitching and just play the best i can.

Very important to understand this concept for long term success:

There's no such things as losing streaks/ winning streaks!!!

There's only THIS HAND, THIS MOMENT, RIGHT NOW! That's all you have control over, period! Losing streaks are in the past. Winning streaks are in the past. Luck factor in upcoming hands are in the future. The past is gone... the future hasn't happened yet!

What happened in the past may INFLUENCE FUTURE DECISIONS, but that's it...

Focus on NOW, CURRENT DECISIONS, THIS HAND!

Stay focused,
Dayne