villain is running 56/17/0.1 With 33.3 for 3 bet. With a fold to cbet of 33%.


I did the math in pokerstove, put in 33.3% for his hand range.


equity win tie
Hand 0: 53.162% 51.48% 01.68% { AsKd }
Hand 1: 46.838% 45.16% 01.68% { 55+, A2s+, K4s+, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 98s, A5o+, K8o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }


For basically for my EV equation.

Its EV = Fold%(Current Pot) + Call%( ( New Pot * win% ) - ( New Pot * lose% ))

so here, lets just say he's folding down bottom 33%. So I put in pokerstove, 15.4% for the new range.

So my equity against that range is 47.602

EV = 33%(6.55) + 67% ( (13.75 * 47.602 % ) - ( 13.75 * 47.602% ) )
= 2.1615 + 67%( 6.5453 - 6.545 )
= $2.16 EV


Am I close here, or way off?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($3.90)
Button ($6.60)
SB ($15.80)
BB ($4.10)
Hero (UTG) ($10)
MP ($2)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, K
Hero bets $0.40, 1 fold, CO calls $0.40, Button raises to $1, 2 folds, Hero raises to $3, 1 fold, Button calls $2

Flop: ($6.55) Q, 8, 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $4, Button calls $3.60 (All-In)

Turn: ($13.75) 6 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($13.75) A (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $13.75 | Rake: $0.65

[spoil]
Button had 10, A (one pair, Aces).
Hero had A, K (one pair, Aces).
Outcome: Hero won $13.10[/spoil]