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benny,
did you raise him on the flop w/ your draw to "see if he would fold?" werent you worried he had the A after his pf raise? and if he called you, what would you do then if the turn missed?
that's not exactly how I looked at it...I was comparing what his range would be to call my flop raise vs what range he was betting.
the read I posted was pretty fundamental to making that play. vs a more passive, unpredictable, or loose opponent it probably would be a bad move. I'll try to show some math behind it though...
lets say his range was: 22+,ATs+,KJs+,QJs,A9o+,KJo+
when I raise, I think he won't continue without at least AJ+ and sets, sometimes better draws. His range just shrank from 15% to 4 or 5%.
the numbers don't need to be exact, but the point is as long he will fold about 1/2 of the time then raising was +ev, and looking at all the hands he raises other than AJ+, it looks very +ev, especially if it gets me action later on.
oh ya, if he called I am probably shutting down without making my hand, but I might get a free card with the button..
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