Select Page
Poker Forum
Over 1,292,000 Posts!
Poker ForumBeginners Circle

losing to draws against the odds

Results 1 to 11 of 11
  1. #1

    Default losing to draws against the odds

    I need some advice, guys.

    Lately I've been getting sucked out big time in cash games by players drawing against the odds and hitting. Yesterday I was sucked out six or seven times in an hour by making a pot sized bet on the turn when well in front (trips, two pair of TPTK), thus giving odds of two to one, and being called by one player only each time with a flush draw or an up and down straight draw, or in some cases even a gutshot. Needless to say, they hit every time.

    I know that the play is correct as I'm not giving the correct odds to my opponent and as I'm getting my money in when favourite I am making the right move. Even with implied odds calling in these situations is not correct. But I am losing badly when it happens.

    The crazy thing is that they don't usually miss on the turn. They either fold their cards or they call and hit. And that is frustrating, as every time the hand went as far as the river i suffered a bad beat. Most of my opponents are scandinavi

    I've tried using "counterplay" but i find I am not getting enough from my big hands.

    Any advice or strategies to recommend? And please, no replies saying I'm whinging or just running bad. I need to develop a way of playing to counteract this.
  2. #2
    johnny_fish's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Posts
    2,103
    Location
    donkaments weeeeeeeeeeee
    Try not to pay it off on the river.
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by johnny_fish
    Try not to pay it off on the river.
    I don't. If I think I am beat then I fold.
  4. #4
    johnny_fish's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Posts
    2,103
    Location
    donkaments weeeeeeeeeeee
    People like to bluff flushes at the river sometimes, so you might call even though you think you're beat. Anyway, it's all about odds. Just keep potting it if they'll call.

    I don't know which limit you play, but some players at 10NL will call any all-in with a flushdraw. So, push against them.
  5. #5
    Lukie's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Posts
    10,758
    Location
    Never read any stickies or announcements
    I know that the play is correct as I'm not giving the correct odds to my opponent and as I'm getting my money in when favourite I am making the right move. Even with implied odds calling in these situations is not correct.
    As long as you understand that.

    Poker is a horrible short-term game...
  6. #6
    To help not paying it off on the river. If the bet on the flop or turn is more than 35% of your stack then you should probably just go all in. Very hard to let it go when the flush or straight comes out and you have put so much in. This also prevents people from bluffing when they miss their draw but another draw comes out (e.g on SD when 3 of one suit fall).
  7. #7
    Thanks guys, much appreciated.

    I realise it is a horrible short term game and it got worse today.

    I play in $100 or $200 buy-in no limit cash games. One from the button raises to 4 x bb, I call with ATs intending to dump if i miss flop. SB and BB call putting 16 x bb in the pot. Flop comes J T 8 rainbow. Raiser bets 4 x bb, a gutless probe bet i feel, so i call as do the others.

    Turn is a T. Evryone checks round to me - i make a pot sized bet. SB calls after some hesitation, others fold. I am positive that I am in front. River is a 9. Damn. SB bets about 15% of the pot. I fear he has hit the straight but I'm getting such great odds that I call. He turns over QJ for a straight.

    Maybe I should have moved all-in on the turn but i wanted to get some action with my trips but not to be outdrawn.

    I suppose that in one sense I should be glad he called with QJ. He has to hit either a J or a 9 to beat me - 6 outs and he was only getting 2/1. He must have put me on trips but he still called. That is what I can't understand. But....he did make the winning hand!
  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by bunthorne
    That is what I can't understand. But....he did make the winning hand!
    Be happy. It's people like that, that will make you money in the long run.
  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by IOS
    Quote Originally Posted by bunthorne
    That is what I can't understand. But....he did make the winning hand!
    Be happy. It's people like that, that will make you money in the long run.
    true, but in the short run it is painful!!!!
  10. #10
    As long as you understand that.

    Poker is a horrible short-term game...
    I strongly agree. If you play poker like a short-term game, you'll end up losing in the long-term. And that's a garauntee.
    "I want to win money so I play the worst. If I could find a group of 2nd graders with $200 bankrolls I would play them."

    -Aokrangly
  11. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by Off5th
    As long as you understand that.

    Poker is a horrible short-term game...
    I strongly agree. If you play poker like a short-term game, you'll end up losing in the long-term. And that's a garauntee.
    Yes, I take that point!

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •