i think the long run is overated to many poker players. when i play poker, i maximize on the short run. repeated short run plays put together is my long run. discuss?
03-18-2006 09:31 PM
#1
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03-18-2006 09:44 PM
#2
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yep in the short run when I started NL50 for the first time, I ran 35ptbb/100 for 2000 hands. Now that I have about 6000 hands in I am averaging 10bb/100. | |
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03-18-2006 09:50 PM
#3
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i don't think you understand the reason for distinguishing between the two. the short run is primarily luck, the long run is primarily skill. you're saying, ignore skill, let's focus on being as lucky as possible? | |
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03-18-2006 09:54 PM
#4
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appreciate the opinion renton, but what i mean is poker is different in every single circumstance. people who depend on the long run too much may miss out on many opportunities to maximize profit. |
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03-18-2006 10:20 PM
#5
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03-18-2006 10:30 PM
#6
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I think people pull the 'variance' card way too much when they lose money, but other then that, poker is all about the long term. | |
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03-18-2006 10:32 PM
#7
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the mistake you are making is assuming all maniacs play the same way. my example involves a maniac who i have studied and determined that calling with any two cards is +EV. To say call all maniacs with any two cards as you have said is a HUGE mistake on all levels. This is why you can not base this type of play on the long run because if you make it a habit whenever you see a maniac it can and will be a huge leak in your game. |
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03-18-2006 10:37 PM
#8
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yes lukie poker IS all about the long term but what I am saying is the long term for me is based on short term decisions when I see a +EV opportunity. Foundation for any beginning player is to build habits based on longterm +EV but once the foundation is built I think it is more +EV to stray from the "established" long term +EV moves and play in a different way that may be +++EV. |
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03-18-2006 10:39 PM
#9
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long run takes into account each situation. it is saying, if i am in this exact same situation against this exact same player, what is the best move I can make. i don't really see why i would have to ignore reads, for example why the long run has to ignore that this player might be a maniac or a good lag. given the sum total of all the information I have about a player, there is a move that I should make every time from now until eternity, that is the best move. short/long run really has nothing to do with that decision, except for causing $$ won to equal out with actual equity. | |
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03-18-2006 10:39 PM
#10
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and btw if you are a beginning player ignore this thread. I am an advanced player trying to discuss advanced concepts that beginning players should not try to emulate. |
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03-18-2006 10:46 PM
#11
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Even though every player is different and every situation depends on the previous situations that have already occurred, if that is your definition of the long term, then fair enough. I will accept that arguement. Although it seems to me you are defining the long term as, "play good poker in the short term and put it together for the long term" which is what I was originally saying. |
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03-18-2006 10:59 PM
#12
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03-18-2006 11:17 PM
#13
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well it sounds like you are just saying make the right decisions in the short term to add up to the long term, which is what i was originally saying. So you all agree with me but are just using my words as the definition of long term. Fair enough. |
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03-18-2006 11:23 PM
#14
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I just think you are misunderstanding what we mean by longterm. The best short term decisions are the ones that maximise the long term outcome just like you said. | |
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03-18-2006 11:29 PM
#15
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dahhh that was what i was saying the whole time. pay attention buddy. read my first post. You just define long term as short term+short term+ short term...., which is what i was saying. Anyway thank you for your response but now we are arguing definitions, which is not what i intended when i posted this. I have found that you guys do agree with what I am saying. |
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03-18-2006 11:45 PM
#16
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the reason everybody seems to agree with you is because your original post was meaningless. no offense, but it was the equivalent of saying 'red cars are red, discuss'. |
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03-18-2006 11:48 PM
#17
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not really... thanks anyway im done with this post. |
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03-18-2006 11:51 PM
#18
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ok. how else can you define the long run other than as a series of short runs??? do long runs just magically appear? what exactly was there to discuss in the original post? |
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03-19-2006 01:17 AM
#19
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03-19-2006 01:55 AM
#20
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03-20-2006 08:43 AM
#21
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I am a big winner at the 1/2 and 2/4 nl tables |
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03-20-2006 09:00 AM
#22
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03-20-2006 09:52 AM
#23
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Question to the OP |
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03-20-2006 10:56 AM
#24
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03-20-2006 07:49 PM
#25
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03-20-2006 10:01 PM
#26
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03-21-2006 03:18 PM
#27
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03-21-2006 03:28 PM
#28
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I'm not even going to give my own version of why this poster has no idea what he's talking about. It's just way too silly. Bigboy is getting BWNED by an entire thread. I think he's a smart guy who is confused. | |
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03-23-2006 07:16 AM
#29
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sorry if people who don't understand this post are mad that they don't understand what I am talking about. I probably need to discuss my ideas with people that actually are capable of understanding instead of a bunch of players with bankrolls of less than 1g. I myself have a bankroll of more than 50x that and it was all won in cash games. the theory i am presenting is probably just too complicated for you guys to understand. I am done argueing definitions and having basic concepts defined to me. If you guys are not willing to learn and discuss politely I would rather not discuss at all. |
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03-23-2006 08:03 AM
#30
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LOL | |
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03-23-2006 08:45 AM
#31
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03-23-2006 09:42 AM
#32
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03-23-2006 10:07 AM
#33
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Anytime Bigboy makes a post God kills a kitten. | |
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03-23-2006 01:17 PM
#34
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03-23-2006 02:20 PM
#35
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03-23-2006 02:25 PM
#36
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I have my doubts that bigboy is going to re-engage, Rond. Too bad, cause this thread had potential. | |
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03-23-2006 02:34 PM
#37
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03-23-2006 03:14 PM
#38
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"Anytime Bigboy makes a post God kills a kitten. | |
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03-23-2006 03:33 PM
#39
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03-23-2006 03:56 PM
#40
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hey, im trying to bring both sides together here! lol | |
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03-23-2006 04:47 PM
#41
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LOL. This discussion is one of the funniest posts I've read here yet. |
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03-23-2006 05:04 PM
#42
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speaking of which, you know whats funny? i like all coke products better than pepsi. ie, barqs over mugs, sprite over 7up etc. EXCEPT coke itself. id take a pepsi over a coke. and not just because of britney spears. definitely weird... | |
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03-23-2006 05:17 PM
#43
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Competing in an argument over pop vs. soda is like competing for the gold medal at the special olypics. Even if you win, you're still a retard. | |
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03-23-2006 05:50 PM
#44
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03-23-2006 05:50 PM
#45
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03-23-2006 06:07 PM
#46
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03-23-2006 06:08 PM
#47
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In all honesty, everybody is arguing essentially the same thing, you just have conflicting definitions. You are all saying that short term decisions, actually, before I continue with this, please tell me what decision isnt short term? Every decision happens in the moment, you may make the same play in the same situation later on, but the current decision is always "short term." This argument is simply restating the obvious and is not some breakthrough theory. But yea, anyways, everybody is making the point about making the most profitable play in a certain set of circumstances, they just disagree with the definitions of short term and long term. In a debate if all you are doing is arguing definitions, essentially semantics, then you have to explain why your definition is better than the other. How does each "side" define long term and short term? That is all you are really arguing about, unless I missed something by breifly skimming the thread. | |
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03-23-2006 06:11 PM
#48
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every decision is long term. It maximises ev. If your call aint ev you dont make. | |
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03-23-2006 06:22 PM
#49
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03-23-2006 08:55 PM
#50
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i thinker hat sometimes some people play good and sometimeser some peoples plays bad. | |
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03-23-2006 09:09 PM
#51
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03-23-2006 10:38 PM
#52
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bump | |
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03-24-2006 04:39 AM
#53
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sigh. this is hostile forum. yes what i stated may be obvious to some but to some it is not. i didnt want to argue over semantics when i posted this but it seems like that is what many of you want to do. only a few of you guys really understood the point i was attempting to make, one of them being siknd. anyway, for those of you who think i am wasting my time posting here like samsonite...makes me wonder. i thought the point of this forum was to share ideas and discuss them. For you to say that is obsurd. |
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03-24-2006 05:34 AM
#54
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You have not shared an idea .... You stated just stated something so ovious that it doesnt require special thinking. |
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03-24-2006 06:42 AM
#55
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03-24-2006 11:59 AM
#56
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03-24-2006 12:13 PM
#57
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this post. overrated? | |
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03-24-2006 12:17 PM
#58
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The sky is blue. | |
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03-24-2006 01:43 PM
#59
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03-24-2006 02:03 PM
#60
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one way to settle these sort of impasses is to bring back the duel. 'i challenge you and your crazy ideas to a duel, bigboy.' 'i accept, pelion. and bring your friend murdoc.' | |
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03-24-2006 02:19 PM
#61
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Anyone else going to Casino Niagara tonight? | |
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03-24-2006 02:44 PM
#62
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03-24-2006 02:53 PM
#63
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03-24-2006 03:22 PM
#64
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03-24-2006 03:29 PM
#65
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It's as if a lightbulb suddenly went off in my head! BigBoy, I'm on their side now. | |
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03-24-2006 03:38 PM
#66
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03-24-2006 03:48 PM
#67
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03-24-2006 04:18 PM
#68
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03-24-2006 04:19 PM
#69
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Focus assholes, we're out thinking a high roller here. | |
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03-24-2006 04:43 PM
#70
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03-24-2006 05:02 PM
#71
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Ok here's my question. If we assume the poster is sincere in his claims of high fortune, then can anyone imagine how such an arrogant, illogical, and emotional mind could ever succeed at high stakes? I mean talk about an easy steamer. He calls us all idiots. He proclaims our opinons invalid based on the comparison between our bankroll and his. He at no point makes an attempt to answer the question.... | |
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03-24-2006 05:22 PM
#72
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{ locked } | |
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