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logic vs math
just want to know if you can be honest with yourself here. assume 10 NL. assume villain is LAGgy.
parenetheses represent total pot value.
lets say you have QJo in a limped pot pf ($.25). you have position.
flop comes Q Q 5 rainbow.
villain leads with a pot-sized bet ($.50). you raise 3X his raise ($1.25).
villain shoves over with his remaining $9.50.
you??
call right? you are top set and essentially even money with a call. you only need to be right about half the time to profit. and with top set, you are certain to be right better than half the time. right? logic is there, and so is the math.
easy one.
but lets say the stacks are deeper... say villain shoves over w/ $20? crazy thought here, but how about shoving over you with $50? into a $1.25 pot?
can you take this chance? or is it easier to toss away your $1, and wait for a better situation?
after all, the math is still the same, right? still even money, but how many of you honestly have the balls to call such a psychotic overbet?
now do the same assuming villain is a rock. if you called before, do you now? still even money, right?
all i'm trying to say is that sometimes your brain has to kick in and overrule the math. this may be one of those times...the deeper stacks get.
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