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Line check - turn semi bluff
Fresh table. In the 11 hands I've been there I've done one PF raise that got me the blinds and one PF raise on the BTN that SB and BB both called, where they folded to my cbet. I may seem a bit aggro on that thin basis. No limps so I still seem somewhat tight.
Villain has done one PF raise (4bb) which won him the blinds beforehand. That's the only hand he's put money into before this one (folded blinds).
Table lost a couple of loose players very quickly and at this point it seems weak-tight, so I'm opening my UTG range to include all pocket pairs raised - for a short while anyway.
$0.05/$0.1 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
Hero ($11.10)
UTG+1 ($7.00)
CO ($9.70)
BTN ($8.60)
SB ($9.60)
BB ($9.30)
Pre-flop: ($0.15, 6 players) Hero is UTG
Hero raises to $0.4, 4 folds, BB calls $0.3
Flop: ($0.85, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.6, BB raises to $1.3, Hero calls $0.7
Turn: ($3.45, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3
With his PF call I put him on a middle pair (JJ-55) or two broadways (ATs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo).
When I cbet and he near-min-raises me I think he's somewhat more likely to have a pocket pair (JJ-77), without really ruling out any of the broadways. To simulate some broadways played differently I'll take ATs, AJs, AJo, KQo and AQo out of his range for the PokerStove.
For my turn action I figure I am possibly behind a bigger pair, and possibly slightly ahead of two overcards. I figure I can represent an AA or KK type hand, leaving me 6 outs (4 times two, 5 times four) to a hand that will definitely win and decide to go for the semi bluff.
If my assumptions are anywhere near right PokerStove sez:
Code:
Board: 6d 6h 3c 2s
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 45.960% 45.96% 00.00% 1092 0.00 { 4d4s }
Hand 1: 54.040% 54.04% 00.00% 1284 0.00 { JJ-77, AQs+, KQs, AKo }
I think I'm happy with my play here. Did I severely overplay my hand?
Edit note: Fixed PokerStove range (removed AQo)
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