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i guess this is where i look stupid/need help. i suggested the c/r on flop because into a "nittish" player, this would send the largest message of strength. he would fold off anything we beat, and continue to bet only the strongest hands. it also gives a likely free turn card oop (because he's a nit). if it doesnt, i dont call any bet of any size. i'm done. i understand this c/r only gets callers from hands that have us beat, but isnt that the point here...we need info and we would like to put villain to the test and do it as cheaply as possible? worse hands arent calling anything anyway. they check behind allowing us to fire the turn, and they certainly fold to a c/r if they are bluffing or "testing" us...giving us the pot right there.
and, another question, how does a c/r on the flop commit us? we fired $3 pf. if we c/r the flop, say villain throw out $4-$5, we bomb him to $15. thats only $18 of our $56 stack. it leaves us $38 behind. if he calls, we know he is wanting to play for stacks...but we didnt from the beginning. we were only trying to win the hand right there on the flop. if he calls our c/r, pot goes to $36ish. we can still push or fold right there on the turn. if the A or Q hit, we push. if anything hits, we check/fold. i dont care if he tosses out $10...he wants our stack because he is ahead. thats all i needed to know about where i stand. the read was 29/1/1. i dont give these guys a lot of credit for playing draws and TPGK for stacks after a c/r on the flop. we sent our message, and it did/didnt work. se la vie.
where i say i get in trouble, is folding due to odds. what difference does that make? you are c/ring to find out if you are behind. if he is interested, you figure you are behind, and no odds make it right to call with little chance to catch up, right?
my other concern is the bet bet check line. if he throws out a 1/3 or 1/2 pot river bet, we have to call, right? dont we know its likely we are beat there, too? so, why do we HAVE to call? in the b b c line, i will pay off a river, but if i am certain i am beat, i shouldnt.
the answer lies, imo, in which line gets us to a river/showdown the cheapest (which would prolly be c/c c/c c/c, but how weak is that?). we want a cheap showdown, assuming we are ui and confident we are behind (which him continuing on with the hand suggests). but, why not be aggressive in there somewhere in case he's weakish, too.
i am trying to learn from former stupidity, though, so take those thoughts and chew them up if you must. i tend to get overly aggro in these spots and would like to know if it ever sends the message i am intending to send.
btw, if you think my suggestion/thought behind it blows, read my signature. it speaks for itself.
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