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 Originally Posted by kiwiMark
Fun fact of the day: Online poker rooms are constantly " shuffling" the deck, so the split second it would have taken you to move from the fold button to the call button with your 72o would've changed the cards you see on the flop from 722 to something else.
my mind is blown.
kinda surprised no one mentioned that even if you limp every single hand you get, you're not seeing nearly as many flops as OP assumes. EVEN IF you have a 5% chance of hitting a flush and so forth without investing anymore money than it costs to limp (which you don't, at all) like half of the times that you limped, it's gonna be raised behind you, so you have to choose between two strategies:
1) you limp and then fold when it's raised preflop. in this scenario, you're only seeing half as many flops as you accounted for while still paying the same amount of money.
2) you limp/call a shitton, in which case it's gonna cost you more like 50bb before you ever see that delicious flop (10bb for the 10 x's that you manage to see a cheap flop and 40bb for the 10x's someone raises you). 50bb is a half a stack, and i can guarantee you that tom dwan doesn't even average that kinda value off of his juicy hands (especiallly if a juicy hand is to include pretty meh value hands like baby flushes).
so even if you're playing against bad bad bad players, you're still springing a really big leak that's not realistically possible to plug.
if you wanna talk about whether you can limp hands that have relatively "likely" potential to make hands that'll win you money (small pocket pairs and suited connectors), there's like ACTUALLY a debate to be had. and modern poker theory has really moved toward the side of the debate that it is bad to even limp these hands (if it's not outright -EV, then it's at the very least not maximizing potential). i do, however, limp/call any pocket pair in EP when i'm playing live poker, but even 2nl isn't half as passive as casino poker.
ANYWAY, as for not getting the "oh i wish i'da played this hand" syndrome, it does just kinda come with getting used to the poker mindset. the poker mindset is something that is in super opposition of natural human prediliction of being results-oriented, and instead being probability oriented. in other words, after seeing 20k hands per month, you stop thinking of things in terms of "well this is what happened this one time and that means that i shoulda played my hand differently" and start to think of it more as "well there is no friggin' way in hell to play 86o profitably UTG, so i made the right decision to fold it pre, regardless of whether or not i woulda flopped quad 6's"
the fact of the matter is that poker is completely counter intuitive (that is the logic of it goes against how humans are hard-wired to think) in so so so so many ways, and that's why there are so many fish in the sea, and that's why so many people come to FTR and leave before they even get enough posts to be able to post a hand history 'cause they're like "FOLD KoJack WITHOUT THERE EVEN BEING A RAISE IN FRONT OF ME?!?!" or "YEAH WELL I'VE TRIED BETTING MY FLOPPED STRAIGHT ON EVERY STREET AND THOSE DONKS JUST ALWAYS SNAP FOLD!!!" and think that we're some sort of combination of pompous retarded assholes who just don't get how it works at the lower limits.
idk, it's 5 in the morning and i'm still a little tipsy, so sorry for the ramble
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