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Is this a leak or am I just getting shit on by variance?

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  1. #1

    Default Is this a leak or am I just getting shit on by variance?

    I'm confused. This kind of stuff has been happening to me so much recently that I am starting to doubt whether I am playing correctly (I feel like I am) or whether I have a huge leak in my game. This type of hand along with a giant clump of bad beats has been hitting me super hard for the last two weeks so hopefully you all can tell me if I played this alright or not.

    From what I have seen this guy is just a standard 1c2c fish. Doesn't play a ton of hands and is pretty weak when he does play. I was putting him on 10s, Qs, or Js. Also sorry for showing results and not using the hand converter but I'm on my parents comp right now.

    Full Tilt Poker Game #16768258372: Table Mello (6 max) - $0.01/$0.02 - No Limit Hold'em - 12:45:58 ET - 2009/12/13
    Seat 1: GrafKoks888 ($2.24)
    Seat 2: FSark ($2.06)
    Seat 3: Caprichosso ($1.67)
    Seat 4: bratango ($2)
    Seat 5: The DC3 ($3.95)
    Seat 6: IWTD ($1.64)
    Caprichosso posts the small blind of $0.01
    bratango posts the big blind of $0.02
    The button is in seat #2
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to The DC3 [Ks Kc]
    The DC3 raises to $0.08
    IWTD raises to $0.14
    GrafKoks888 folds
    FSark folds
    Caprichosso folds
    bratango folds
    bratango adds $0.02
    The DC3 raises to $0.38
    IWTD has 15 seconds left to act
    IWTD calls $0.24
    *** FLOP *** [4c 2c 4h]
    The DC3 has 15 seconds left to act
    The DC3 bets $0.55
    IWTD raises to $1.26, and is all in
    The DC3 calls $0.71
    IWTD shows [As 4s]
    The DC3 shows [Ks Kc]
    *** TURN *** [4c 2c 4h] [8s]
    *** RIVER *** [4c 2c 4h 8s] [7c]
    IWTD shows three of a kind, Fours
    The DC3 shows two pair, Kings and Fours
    IWTD wins the pot ($3.09) with three of a kind, Fours
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot $3.31 | Rake $0.22
    Board: [4c 2c 4h 8s 7c]
    Seat 5: The DC3 showed [Ks Kc] and lost with two pair, Kings and Fours
    Seat 6: IWTD showed [As 4s] and won ($3.09) with three of a kind, Fours
  2. #2
    This is just a standard cooler.. he likely woulda done the same thing with a smaller overpair or top pair. Don't get frustrated.. shit happens.

    Post some more hands.. one is not enough to see if you have leaks.
  3. #3
    Standard. Reload and stay as long as this guy is still there.
  4. #4
    how else do you suggest we play the hand?
  5. #5
    this is as they say poker guy couldve had an over pair 7,s even you had to play it no choice you made the right it was just a bad beat I usually wouldnt fold k k without an ace on the board or an obvious draw either sometimes you win those hands with the opponent holding ace k
  6. #6
    bjsaust's Avatar
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    Looks pretty good to me. NH.
    Just dipping my toes back in.
  7. #7
    swiggidy's Avatar
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    Leak. Stop letting your opponents flop trips.
    (\__/)
    (='.'=)
    (")_(")
  8. #8
    Here's another hand I'm not sure if I played right. I didn't have any long term reads on this guy other than I hadn't seen him play that many hands. Although from the preflop action I was putting him on AJ+ and 1010+ although based on how the hand played out I was 95% sure I was ahead at the point I shoved. Did I play it too strongly or should I simply have called and reevaluated on the turn?

    Full Tilt Poker Game #16824285023: Table Sasser (6 max) - $0.01/$0.02 - No Limit Hold'em - 13:45:52 ET - 2009/12/15
    Seat 1: The DC3 ($3.60)
    Seat 2: 123231312 ($2.97)
    Seat 3: Baby_Love1 ($2.51)
    Seat 4: curriculumvitae ($2.45)
    Seat 5: The Wuzi ($3.34)
    Seat 6: Wille90 ($4.78)
    curriculumvitae posts the small blind of $0.01
    The Wuzi posts the big blind of $0.02
    The button is in seat #3
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to The DC3 [Qd Ac]
    Wille90 folds
    The DC3 raises to $0.10
    123231312 folds
    Baby_Love1 folds
    curriculumvitae raises to $0.32
    The Wuzi folds
    The DC3 calls $0.22
    *** FLOP *** [4d 3h Ah]
    curriculumvitae checks
    The DC3 bets $0.30
    curriculumvitae has 15 seconds left to act
    curriculumvitae raises to $0.90
    The DC3 raises to $3.28, and is all in
    curriculumvitae calls $1.23, and is all in
    The DC3 shows [Qd Ac]
    curriculumvitae shows [Kh 5h]
    Uncalled bet of $1.15 returned to The DC3
    *** TURN *** [4d 3h Ah] [2s]
    *** RIVER *** [4d 3h Ah 2s] [8h]
    The DC3 shows a pair of Aces
    curriculumvitae shows a flush, Ace high
    curriculumvitae wins the pot ($4.60) with a flush, Ace high
    The DC3: wow
    The DC3 adds $0.85
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot $4.92 | Rake $0.32
    Board: [4d 3h Ah 2s 8h]
    Seat 1: The DC3 showed [Qd Ac] and lost with a pair of Aces
    Seat 4: curriculumvitae (small blind) showed [Kh 5h] and won ($4.60) with a flush, Ace high
  9. #9
    And one more situation I have trouble with. I dunno if this was too spewy a call or not on the flop.
    Seat 1: The DC3 ($3.95)
    Seat 2: 123231312 ($3.16), is sitting out
    Seat 3: Baby_Love1 ($3.68)
    Seat 4: inagoodmood ($2.36)
    Seat 5: The Wuzi ($2.95)
    Seat 6: SlowJoe2 ($2.40), is sitting out
    inagoodmood posts the small blind of $0.01
    The Wuzi posts the big blind of $0.02
    The button is in seat #3
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to The DC3 [Kd Jd]
    The DC3 raises to $0.08
    Baby_Love1 calls $0.08
    inagoodmood calls $0.07
    The Wuzi folds
    *** FLOP *** [Th Ts Qs]
    inagoodmood checks
    The DC3 bets $0.16
    Baby_Love1 calls $0.16
    inagoodmood raises to $0.60
    The DC3 calls $0.44
    Baby_Love1 folds
    *** TURN *** [Th Ts Qs] [6s]
    SlowJoe2 has returned
    inagoodmood bets $1
    The DC3 folds
    Uncalled bet of $1 returned to inagoodmood
    inagoodmood mucks
    inagoodmood wins the pot ($1.52)
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot $1.62 | Rake $0.10
    Board: [Th Ts Qs 6s]
    Seat 1: The DC3 folded on the Turn
    Seat 4: inagoodmood (small blind) collected ($1.52), mucked
    [00:29] <daven> dc, why not check turn behind
    [00:30] <DC> daven
    [00:30] <DC> on my hand?
    [00:30] <daven> yep
    [00:30] <DC> because I am drunk
    [00:30] <daven> nice reason
    [00:30] <daven> no further questions
    [00:30] <yaawn> ^^Lol

    Problem officer...?
  10. #10
    we need reads on villain in ALL of these hands. folding both hands PF are my standard plays though. 3b'ing the flop in the AQo hand really seems spewy.
  11. #11
    In the 1st hand I just think it's funny that you say you thought his range was TT+, AJ+ PF and then say you were 95% sure that you were ahead post flop when he C/R. What were you putting him on when he C/R?

    In the second hand I don't think I like the flop bet and I definitely don't like the call. The board is very wet and paired, so your draw isn't that good. Plus it's 3 way.
  12. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by surviva316
    folding both hands PF are my standard plays though.
    Raising KJs from CO isn't std for you?
  13. #13
    tomato paste carnage's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by microgrinder
    Quote Originally Posted by surviva316
    folding both hands PF are my standard plays though.
    Raising KJs from CO isn't std for you?
    Depends on how the BU / SB / BB are playing. It's hard to pigeon hole X hand into X position without knowing what is going on around you at the table.
    Tilt is poker cancer. You catch it, you die.
  14. #14
    oh whoops. i can't read these damned unconverted hands. i saw there were 6 occupied seats and hero acted first, so i though he was UTG. i almost never open fold KJs in the CO, and fwiw, i often open it even UTG, but it's not my "standard" play
  15. #15
    Hand 1 - No problem, well played.

    Hand 2 - You need a read that he's spewy/loose
    to continue after the 3 bet, if he tight then folding is best
    due to reverse implied odds.

    Hand 3 - Of your 8 outs 2 are tainted, I think his range super strong (no Queen will do this) so fold.
  16. #16
    Thanks.

    Yeah I have KJs as a fairly standard opening hand. =\
    I always forget about tainted outs
    [00:29] <daven> dc, why not check turn behind
    [00:30] <DC> daven
    [00:30] <DC> on my hand?
    [00:30] <daven> yep
    [00:30] <DC> because I am drunk
    [00:30] <daven> nice reason
    [00:30] <daven> no further questions
    [00:30] <yaawn> ^^Lol

    Problem officer...?
  17. #17
    KJs open from CO is fine as a std, I assume most people will show profit from doing this. If it were UTG or UTG+1 I would say that it really depends on how you play and table conditions.

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