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Originally Posted by Nekrogovner
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed)
BB ($5)
UTG ($28.22)
UTG+1 ($11.08)
MP1 ($5.50)
MP2 ($12.95)
MP3 ($5)
CO ($7)
Hero ( Button) ($10.18)
SB ($5.60)
Preflop: Hero is Button with Jh, Jd
UTG bets $0.75, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.75, 1 fold, CO ( poster) calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds
Flop: ($3.35) 7d, 5h, 9s (4 players)
UTG checks, MP2 bets $2.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $2.50, 1 fold
Turn: ($8.35) 10h (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $2.50, MP2 calls $2.50
River: ($13.35) 7s (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero ????
Total pot: $13.35 | Rake: $0.64
MP2 is semisuccesful 48/10 over 70 hands bully. Seen him preflop raise for 2.5$, and bet flop for 2.5$ few times.
So my question is, should i value bet the river or Check?
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I like the way you played the hand.
Preflop. Red Jacks.
I like calling PF, although you could make a case for ReRing in position I strongly prefer taking a flop with a hand like JJ. Folding is out of the question.
Flop. 7d, 5h, 9s.
My first thought when your opp bet into three opps was that he definately has a hand. My second thought was he most likely has a mediocre hand. I ruled out QQ+ because he probably would have ReR PF and while a set is possible it is statistically unlikely. I doubt he would have bet a hand like AQ+ because the flop missed him by a mile. That leaves mostly mediocre hands like unimproved pocket pairs TT, 88, 66, and suited connectors like 56, 65, 78, 89. These hands are pair plus gutshot hands. This is my primary read.
I would have preferred that he check so I can bet, but I think the flop call is an easy one.
The Turn. 10h
This could have a hit a hand like TT or 9T, but it misses most of the hand types I have listed above. So when he checks I'm still playing on the basis of my primary read. I would have made my bet just a little bigger, about 1/2 pot. I'm betting here both for value and to protect my hand. It's ok with me if he folds. Since you are essentially pot committed you could go all in. But I still prefer betting 1/2p a call here is profitable.
The River. 7s
This only improves a small portion of the hands in the range and I think you want to bet for value here. I don't mind checking especially if I had made the larger value bet recommended on the turn. However, as played I would lean toward betting for a little extra value.
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