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Here is another example showing jsut how critical position can be.
Hero has A , K .
Flop: ($13.50) 4 , K , 3 (3 players)
UTG+2 checks, MP1 checks, Hero bets $6, UTG+2 calls $6, Villain calls $6.
Turn: ($31.50) Q (3 players)
UTG+2 checks, Villain checks, Hero checks.
After both 2 called the flop (I should have bet a little more, but that’s a different problem) I suspected that one might be on the flush draw. If so, I'm drawing dead with a good enough hand to lose some money on. Thankfully I don’t need to pay to find out because, once again, I have position.
I don’t bet anything on the turn so that I give myself a cheap showdown. This time I'm not after a free card (in fact I'm giving a free card away). This time I just want to get to the showdown as cheaply as possible.
Anyone with the flush that was thinking of pulling a check raise, or check calling just lost a lot of value. Not only that, but anyone planning on BLUFFING the flush cant make a play now either. Instead of them reaching the river with a $60+ pot to value bet or bluff into, they only have a $31.50 pot to work with on the river.
River: ($31.50) 4 (3 players)
UTG+2 checks, Villain bets $10, Hero calls $10, UTG+2 folds.
Now the villain makes his move. He makes a nice value bet. I suspect that he probably has the flush, but, because of position.... I now make money if the better is bluffing just one out of four times.
Against this player I knew that calling was +EV, so I called.
Ok, let’s take a look at this same hand out of position...
Hero has A , K .
Flop: ($13.50) 4 , K , 3 (3 players)
Hero bets $6, UTG+2 calls $6, Villain calls $6.
Nothing really changed on the flop. I still bet, they still call.
Turn: ($31.50) Q (3 players)
When the flush hits on the turn and I'm out of position, one phrase comes to mind...

"Well, here's another nice mess you've gotten me into"
Things get REALLY ugly really fast. I have 2 plays, and both are bad.
First, I can check.. Thats nice and safe right?
1) Hero checks, UTG+2 checks, Villain bets $10, Hero ???
The check here says "the pot is yours, take it". I just gave the pot away to any aggressive player (ps: this works well when you have the flush against an smart player as well) When he bets not only am I putting money into the pot against what I fear might be flush, but I still need to survive another round of betting. Never forget about the river. What will happen on the river if I call?
What if I bet and he min raises me?
What if I check and he value bets?
Just how much more money and I willing to lose on this hand?
So if checking is bad, lets try a bet. After all I still have a good chance of having the best hand.
2a) Hero bets $10, UTG+2 folds,Villain raises to $20, Hero ????
2b) Hero bets $10, UTG+2 folds,Villain calls $10
Again, I’m left in a horrible position. Best case for winning the hand is if he calls, but what do I do on the river? Check? Value bet? Any move I make either gives the pot away, or loses even more money.
River: ($51.50) 4 (3 players)
1) Hero checks, Villain bets $15, Hero ???
What do you do here? Let him have a $50 pot for a $15 bet?
2) Hero bets $15, Villain raises to $30, Hero ???
Can you fold to just another $15 when the pot is sitting at $95??
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