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Re: Implied Pot Odds
 Originally Posted by djzcko
Just wanted to ask you guys about implied pot odds. OK, so I was in LP in a $25NL full Ring game and limped QTos with 3 callers. Flop was 9 2 8 with 2 diamonds. SB bets .50, BB folds, I call and button folds. So now it's just me and the SB. Turn is a 6. Pot is now $2.25 and SB fires out $1.50. I now have a double barrel str8 draw, so either a 7 or J completes me but I don't have the pot odds to call this. However, my read on this guy ($20 stack) was that he had a hand-maybe 2 pr or top pr w/str8 draw. Given the fact that he bet more agressively on the turn, I thought the probability of taking his stack if I hit my str8 was good so I called. And I hit my J on the river, SB bet $7 on the river and I took him all-in and cleared his stack. He had 2 pr on the flop BTW. Was this a donk play or a good use of implied odds?
Isn't the problem here that if it DOESN'T fall on the turn, you'll get raised the $7 all the same so you have to calculate that into your bet too.
So to me it seems like: instead of the usual 8 outs times 4 is 32% chance to hit your straight, you get:
16% to hit your straight on the turn.. then another 16% to hit your straight on the river at the cost of $7. So yeah, the implied odds are great.. but your investment is a lot greater than you'd expect too.
Ofcourse I totally lack experience, but seems like more of a coin-flip.. ie in the long run you won't win much with these odds.
I mean, if you don't get your outs.. are you gonna wager another $7 for the 16% chance that they'll fall on the river?
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