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Implied odds... can I call?
Button is 32/5 over 22 hands, so not much to go on. No notes.
I've been running at 25/11 over 65 hands at this table.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG+1 ($2.45)
MP1 ($2.48)
MP2 ($0.95)
MP3 ($2.17)
Hero (CO) ($4.31)
Button ($2.07)
SB ($1.15)
BB ($7.38)
UTG ($2)
Preflop: Hero is CO with 10 , J
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.02, 2 folds, Hero bets $0.10, Button calls $0.10, SB calls $0.09, 2 folds
Flop: ($0.34) 3 , 8 , 6 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.30, Button calls $0.30, SB calls $0.30
Turn: ($1.24) 9 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, Button bets $0.46, 1 fold, Hero?
I got more or less 4:1 on my money here, and have 6 outs for the nuts, and two more to make a straight, losing only to flush, which is unlikely for him to have. How much money do I need to make on the river if I hit to justify a call? I have to consider a heart making my straight, not because I'm scared he has the flush, but because maybe he folds a hand he might have called if it was not a heart. I figure I need to make 50c more on the river to make up for the bad turn odds, but I kinda plucked that figure from quick estimates while my time was ticking. Surely his remaining stack is clearly past the required amount? It's fairly obvious I called, and I'll go into the chat argument later, but I'm curious to know what you guys would do here.
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